In 2019, Aaron Jones stands 4th among RBs in points but that figure can be deceiving. Jones currently owns a 0.674 Consistency Rating - the worst among top 20 RBs and 2nd worst among top 24 RBs, behind only David Johnson.
What is even more surprising is the fact that his production seems to hinge strictly on his YPC, not upon his TD totals or workload. In games where Jones hit his season-average in YPC (4.5 YPC), he has been unreal, totaling 174.3 points in 5 games (34.9 PPG). During these games, Jones has hit 25+ points every time and has hit 30+ points 3 times. On the other hand, when Jones fails to hit that 4.5 YPC threshold, he has been abysmal, putting up a mere 79 points in 8 games (9.89 PPG). He has a stunning ZERO games of 20+ points when below that YPC mark and has hit 10+ points the same number of times he had scored under 5 points.
With upcoming matchups against Chicago (3.7) and Minnesota (4.2), who rank 3rd and 12th in fewest YPC allowed respectively, it's pretty safe to say Jones is arguably the biggest risk/reward option at any position for the remainder of the fantasy playoffs. He should be started, but expect either 25+ points or under 10 with realistically nothing in between.
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